The Under results are an extension from last year when the Under went 112-74-2 for 60% through the first six weeks and ended the season with a 310-248-10 Under record for 56% winning bets. For the season, home teams have gone 46-44 SU record, 40-45-5 ATS mark for 47% winning bets, and the Under has been a big money-maker going 53-36-1 for 60%.

In Week 6 action in the NFL, home teams went 10-4 straight-up, 9-5 against-the-spread (ATS), and 11-2-1 Under for 85% winning bets. I was on the Jets, who have one of the best if not the best defenses in the NFL, which made the Eagle's decision all the more puzzling – and I am a numbers guy too. So, with a 14-12 lead, in a low-scoring physical game, with one of the best defensive front sevens in the game, the analytics said to give up an easy touchdown instead of playing tough defense and at minimum force a game-winning field goal attempt.

The Jets' Tony Adams picked off Jalen Hurts just inside of two minutes and the Eagles elected to allow them to score on the next play to ensure that they would have an opportunity to score a touchdown having 1:48 seconds left in the game.Īfter the game, the Eagles coaches stated it was the analytics that supported a 'let them score' decision. The biggest win in Week 6 was earned by the New York Jets, who shockingly upset the then-undefeated Philadelphia Eagles 20-14 as 3.5-point home underdogs. This article is part of our NFL Picks series.

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